Have you ever heard of the Lindy Effect?
No, it’s not when you get sent to jail for something you didn’t do, but it is something that is interesting.
According to the good ole folks over at Wikipedia, it is “the longer a period something has survived to exist or be used in the present, it is also likely to have a longer remaining life expectancy. Longevity implies a resistance to change, obsolescence or competition and greater odds of continued existence into the future.”
Basically, if something has been around for a while, chances are it’ll be around for a fair while yet.
So while the world tries to get us to go online for everything, books are still popular today, and will probably be around for a lot longer than you and I are walking this earth.
I don’t know about you, but I still love to hold a book in my hand when I read. I spend enough time looking at a screen each day to not do it when I read for relaxation too.
You can even take things a little further, and say the same for a good old mullet. They’ve been around for a long time and they’re arguably even more popular now than they were back in the 70’s and 80’s.
Whether they’re your cup of tea or not is another thing. But they’re still around.
I also think this Lindy Effect can be applied to fitness too.
Think about what has been around forever and is still popular today.
Things like running, yoga, even some type of resistance training.
Yes, the method of what to do may have changed slightly over time, but the principle is still the same.
People are working out to get fitter, stronger and healthier.
I guess I can even draw a link between how long I’ve been around for, to my future longevity in the industry.
I’ve mentioned plenty of times that the average lifespan for someone in the fitness industry is only a couple of years.
It used to be 18 months to 2 years and while I don’t know current numbers, it can’t be far off that cause people realise that you can’t just stand around all day telling people what to do – there’s actually a bit more depth needed.
This year I’m 21 years in the fitness industry overall, and 16 for DPM so if the Lindy Effect continues I have just as much chance to be around in another 16 years as someone who has been doing it for 2 years has to be still going 2 years later.
That’ll be interesting to see how it plays out.
I think it also helps explain why all these fads come and go over the years.
There’s been plenty that I’m sure you’ve seen come and go too – you may even have tried some.
Anyways, I’ll leave you with that concept for this week.
Enjoy your weekend.